gap closes, copper’s about to get loud.

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gap closes, copper’s about to get loud.

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Historically, it moves in lockstep with the 10 year yield — and right now, there’s a glaring gap. If that gap closes, copper’s about to get loud.
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And it’s already whispering.

Copper just hit a 52 week high.

International stocks are starting to hum.

Momentum always shows up quietly before it slams the door. Here’s the kicker: global growth isn’t being driven by the usual suspects. It’s not the U.S. or Europe. It’s the rest of the world — emerging market and developing economies are growing at 4.2%, more than double the 1.8% of advanced economies.  The world is moving at 3.2%, and the heavy lifting is coming from places most investors still ignore. That matters. Because copper doesn’t just track growth — it sniffs it out early. And right now, it smells something big. (TLDR) Why we think copper moves higher from here:
  • Copper just broke out to a new 52 week high
  • International equities are gaining momentum alongside it
  • The copper-to-gold ratio is trailing the 10-year yield — a gap that typically closes when global growth picks up
  • Emerging markets are growing at 4.2%, more than double the 1.8% pace of developed economies
  • Global growth is being driven by regions that are heavy consumers of copper
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